Ohio State, UCLA and Iowa Week 10 lines as Notre Dame is favored over No. 1 Miami

Notre Dame gets the headline in ESPN's Week 10 Top 25 lines. The No. 4 Irish are 7.5-point favorites at home against No. 1 Miami. Three Big Ten games are also on that board, and each one matters for the league's playoff picture. In ESPN's DraftKings numbers, No. 5 UCLA is a 5.5-point favorite at Minnesota and No. 11 Ohio State gives Oregon 7.5 points at home. No. 21 Iowa is a 2.5-point underdog at Northwestern.

ESPN's FPI model agrees on the favorite in all three games but sees them differently. It likes Ohio State the most, by 13.6 points with an 83 percent chance to win. It has UCLA by 6.4 and calls the Iowa game close to even: Northwestern by 1.8 with a 55 percent chance.

The Buckeyes are the team most in need of a clean afternoon. They lost 30-18 at USC last week, their second road loss after a one-point defeat at Texas, and fell to 6-2. UCLA is the only unbeaten team left among these clubs at 8-0. Sports Illustrated noted that the Bruins have covered the spread in all eight games. SI also pointed out that Minnesota won the first meeting between the schools, 21-17 in 2024.

What the board says for Saturday

Ohio State is favored by -277 on Novig. The best price anywhere is FanDuel's -275, so there is little room between venues on the favorite. The gap is wider on Oregon, which is +257 on Novig and +275 at Hard Rock Bet. Novig has the spread at 7.5, and Fanatics offers Oregon at +8. The total is 45.5 on Novig, a point below ESPN's 46.5. The Buckeyes have scored 42 or more four times at home this season, but their last two road games produced 34 and 48 total points.

UCLA's run of low scores shows in its number. The Bruins have won their last three games by 27-0, 28-10 and 17-7. Novig has the total at 38.5, the lowest of these Big Ten games, and FanDuel has it at 39.5. UCLA is favored at -186 on Novig, shorter than ESPN's -205. Novig has the spread at 4.5, while Pinnacle offers Minnesota at +5.5. That full point is the widest spread gap among the three ranked Big Ten games. See the full board on the UCLA at Minnesota page.

Iowa comes in off a 30-0 shutout of Wisconsin. Its two losses were by a combined 20 points, including a 13-10 defeat at Minnesota. Northwestern is favored at -125 on Novig, with Iowa at +120. ESPN lists the Wildcats at -135 and the Hawkeyes at +114. The spread is 2.5 and the total is 45.5 at both. Prices are on the Iowa at Northwestern page.

The most lopsided Big Ten game this week is in Madison, though it is not on ESPN's ranked list. Wisconsin is favored at -900 on Novig against Rutgers and gives 17.5 points. DraftKings offers Rutgers at +18.5. The Badgers are 5-3 and were shut out at Iowa last week. Sportsbook hold across the 12 venues tracked for these four games ranges from 3.0 to 7.0 percent. The Oregon game page is here.